Some of you may be interested in this ~ It’s a brief video Interview that Outlook Business has carried on their website www.outlookbusiness.com & on YouTube this month April 2019 & which can be viewed below reflecting my views on :
Lok Sabha Elections that have commenced~ don’t see them a as a risk factor for Indian Equities
Value Pockets across Sectors,PSUs too
A convincing real estate play
Wishing all of you a profitable Financial Year 2019-20 after a roller coaster emotional FY 2018-19 for most who lived a disconnect between Sensex & Nifty seeking record highs & Small & Mid Caps giving up significant gains in quick time too
It was quite an interactive Saturday at the Full House Fundamental Equity Value Vs Price Mumbai MasterClass on Compounding & Capital Protection
We began in earnest at 9.30 am right through to 8 pm~ so much debated from current unnerving market meltdowns & what should be mindsets & strategies in such times that suddenly overcast us in September ~ of Courage & Conviction & Cash ~ what if one is fully Invested ? should one average? should one exit ? why in panic one tends to always sell off the winners to realise whatever profit in hand & let’ losers drag? ….lot’s of questions that were addressed with a confidence culled from such experiences in the past thirty years
They came from all around ~ rookies to veterans ~ small to High Net Worth ~ from Broking Houses,J P Morgan,Accenture,Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank,Cap Gemini,Reliance,Moneycontrol etc
We covered Time Value,Volatility,Valuation & Asset Allocation with Illustrations of over 25 companies with few of them in detailed Valuation over Earnings & Assets & Challenges faced…went through a few Annual Reports & Interim Results & Exchange Notifications & Developments through News in the Media…checked price trends in the short term & even over last ten years to assess Risk & Reward & Mispricing Opportunities
How the discipline of Valuation & Asset Allocation is your Weapon for Survival & Wealth Protection while growing it & to stay away from Noise & Insider trading & from those who know nothing or even more dangerous from those who don’t know they know nothing !
Valuation ! Valuation ! Valuation ! …how this leg of the equity table actually must be the most solid to hold the table together when the other leg of Liquidity props up the remaining two legs of Sentiment & Momentum ~ Impact & Quantum of FPI & DII Flows especially when they slow down or reverse
Put up Friday,September 28,2018 closing prices touchlines of over 200 scrips & even those separately in the Finance,Pharma & Realty Space showing the wealth destruction in them from their 52 week Highs….alarming yes,but is there value re-emerging in many? ~ Showcased a Core Scrips Valuation Grid too
In this continuing market meltdown across the board that has knocked off 50% & more in many that actually hold wealth creation potential & in many that simply were wealth destroyers in the making & should never have been married to ,who can one trust for relevant,reliable & timely information & unbiased & wise interpretation ? ~ Government,Exchanges & Regulatory authorities,Bankers, Auditors,Media,Brokers,Experts,Promoters & Fund Managers of PMS & MFs,Company Promoters & Management ? Who ?
Indian Equity ~ Goldmine to a Few & Explosive Mine to Many ~ Training Minds to be Minesweepers to differentiate
Saturday, August 4, 2018
Wealth of Mind & Monies must move in tandem.Click above or here to attend my next Mumbai workshop on Saturday August 4,2018.It’s yet again at my Fort HO,above Starbucks & Croma & a hop step & jump from the BSE
‘Q’ attend karey?
‘Q’uality’~how to focus on it~ Discipline of never Deviating~never? what about that potential multi-bagger turnaround or sapling that carries high risks ? Equity is all about Growing Wealth while Protecting it ~ taking & managing risk
The above Registration link also displays the Workshop Template outlining what shall be covered & why you should invest one Saturday with me
We’ve had real Fun at all the Equity Workshops in the last three years with some lovely entertaining interaction with & between participants from all over India & Overseas while playing the Corporate Tambola or even playing around with ‘Experts’ Views on our Sensex & Nifty or what Trump will do or not do next ! or whether any North Korea Missile is pointed at our Sensex ! or explaining & evaluating practical applications of Investment & Financial Concepts through discussion & debate in Company Case Studies with focus on assessing ‘Value vs Price’…we’ve seen the impact of FPI flows,Interest,Inflation & Exchange Rates,Fx Reserves,Oil Prices & Budget Deficits…we’ve discussed the importance of Corporate Earnings on Valuation & in many cases how it’s the Assets that give Value…we’ve examined the four legs of the Equity table ~ Valuation,Liquidity,Sentiment & Momentum & how to gauge rising risk when Markets run ahead of fundamentals…many of you have been rewarded too at the workshop for great lively answers & interaction
We’ve tackled Valuations & Risks of Bombay Dyeing,I B Ventures,HEG ,Yuken,Ruby Mills & HOV among many others in the recent past & discussed the serious Corporate Governance Issues in the Essar Oil Delisting,Kwality,JBF & Vakrangee among others & the huge Risks associated with wealth destroyed companies GTL Infra,ESL,Suzlon,Subex & Uttam Galva that yet keep offering hopes of a turnaround
Fundamental MasterClass in Mumbai
Stock Selection ~ Value Vs Price – 2018 ~ Markets Major & Mature ~ Sensex 36000 ~ Taking Stock
Saturday, February 17, 2018
At the previous Funda workshops in June & August 2017 we thread-bared Bombay Dyeing at Rs 70 to assess Value Vs Price in the price range of Rs 70 to Rs 85 & participants got excited to lap it up….in months it raced away to Rs 300 & now stands at Rs 250…of course Markets have been kind too…we had covered over 50 companies across sectors like Yuken,Rama Steel & Grauer on Valuation through Assets & Earnings & Situational Studies like M & A, Delisting & Turnarounds & the outcomes have been quite enjoyed by most participants as the feedback shows……. for what’s Academics & Theory without Action & Application
As Usual there’s already a good mix of participants from retail to HNWI & from FPIs, broking houses,PSUs & MNC Banks….coming even from overseas & outstation for this Mumbai Workshop
Do try & make it….will be fun interacting fun-da-mentally with all of you on Re-positioning & Reinvestment Risks & on Corporate Governance & Controversies as we play the Corporate Tambola and exercise other Mind Gums on the Magic of Compounding & the holding of Convictions of Fundamental Selections through even steep market corrections especially if fully invested !
When I had announced this workshop just a fortnight ago the Sensex was at a record 36000+ and featured in the Workshop Title…In days since then following a global correction and arguably an uninspiring Union Budget that re-introduced Long Terms Capital Gains Tax the Sensex fell sharply below 34000 with many non large caps taking a hit of even 30 % with Vakrangee decimating over 50% from over Rs 500 to under Rs 200 on Corporate Governance issues
Even Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway’s Equity Portfolio has taken a US $ 11.2 billion hit ~ of course he’s not bothered ~ should you be when closer home we continue to be suckers in Company Price Run Ups where Quality is clearly suspect & where our PSU Banks continue to reel under the weight of NPAs with SBI announcing a huge Q 3 Loss,the first in many quarters, because of this ? ~ Capitalisation & Consolidation process is on ~ are PSU Banks potential wealth creators going forward?
On the back of a fantastic Mumbai Workshop on Saturday,June 17,2017 here’s another opportunity to invest the first Saturday in August 2017 with me ! ~ especially for those who could not make it or could not be accommodated as Registrations had closed within a week of opening ~ expecting a few repeat participants too ~ what better endorsement could there be ! ~🙂 While you can call it an Encore ,this time in this Stock Selection ~Value Vs Price Workshop have kept another exciting Theme to spot & assess both Long & Short Term Opportunities in Equity :
Plan to cover over 25 Fundamental Opportunities in Specific Sectors & Companies to assess Value vs Price both in the Short Term & the Longer Term ~ thus ideal for both Traders & Investors
Here’s some fresh feedback from participants of the very recent June 17,2017 Mumbai Fundamental Workshop on Stock Selection : Value Vs Price~ Wealth Destroyers : Potential Multibaggers where we conducted Macro & Micro Earnings & Asset Basis Valuation exercises & more & even played an animated Corporate Tambola ! ~ Some participants came in from Dubai,Malaysia,Delhi,Cochin & Ichikaranji too ~ & what a lovely & lively Mix from retail investors to HNWI market veterans & professionals from FPIs,Fund & Broking Houses & Institutions ~ spread in age from early 20’s to the 60’s
“Again Sir you Rocked & it was my fortune to attend your wonderful workshop that too three times in a row ~ it is your simplicity, down to earth nature & great FUNDA knowledge ( how to value a stock so precisely ) made me motivated to attend your w’shop again and again & i hope in future also, I will be able to attend your w’shop ~ Every w’shop is so unique”
“indeed a great learning & educational experience….totally luv your analysis of stocks….looking forward to the next one”
“Always fortunate to attend…get motivated by your knowledge & the attitude you carry with…thanks for sharing your knowledge & helping people like me to grow better”
It was a wonderful Saturday for all of us ~ a Full House ~Time just Flew!
The Mumbai Equity Workshop on Wealth Destroyers having the Potential to bounce back kicked off at 9.30 am stretched into 7 pm…began with a Tambola or Housie where they had to guess the Wealth Destroying company on the questions posed & strike off the name if it’s there on their Ticket…In fact each pulled out a question & posed it for all…Prizes for Jaldi 3 & Two Full Houses & a question Bank on 25 companies…like “Chor ! Chor!” & they got it ! ~ Kingfisher Airlines ! or Ethopian Counsel yet destroyed his Company & promptly the answer shot back “Karuturi”! Chocolates were given for each correct answer too while I spoke a minute or two on each company & how it was destroyed & whether it can revive
Covered Valuation,Sentiment,Momentum & Liquidity…the power of Compounding for Wealth Creation…FPI Flows Impact…Impact of Global & Domestic Economic & Geo-Political Head & Tail winds…the impact of three leading rates~inflation,interest & exchange….how to protect capital while growing it through the discipline of asset allocation & when to adopt tactical strategies & staying true to ones’ risk profile
…& if convinced on Equity & India…showed them why they should be…then should you go for passive index investing through Mutual Funds Schemes & be content with CAGRs of 10% to 15% over the years or should you go directly into Equity for specific selections for potential of higher gains…& why the latter should be your strategy…& why Fundamental rather than Technical Approach…& not to mistake luck for skills in such bullish markets
Tea & Coffee & a variety of Cold Beverages & Biscuits & Wafers were served through the day & we had to switch from a Copper Chimney Lunch Buffet arranged to a Soup,Salads,Sandwich & Desserts Buffet at Pizza By the Bay as the former’s kitchen had grappled with a fire the previous day & was closed on Saturday
Must Thank the Full House with Participants coming in specially from Dubai,Malaysia,Delhi,Cochin & Ichikaranji too…there were a few repeats from earlier workshops in Bangalore & Mumbai ~ take that as a thumbs up!…gratifying that within three to four days days of announcing this workshop end May 2017,it got full…surely Sensex at 31000+ and climbing has something to do with this ! 🙂