Endurance & Varroc IPOs ~ An Enduring Success Tale of Twins

Really happy for them ! ~ Anurang & Tarang Jain ~ Twins from our Sydenham College Mumbai Class of 83 & with who I’ve enjoyed long bridge sessions that often stretched into early morning while we were college mates

Related to the Bajaj Family, both were inspired & guided after post graduation to set up Auto Components Plants in Aurangabad to begin with  ~ Tarang set up Varroc Engineering in 1988 while Anurang founded the Endurance Technologies Group with it’s roots being an Aluminium Casting Plant in 1985.Their Footprint has spread globally with Endurance establishing Operations through Subsidiaries in Italy & Germany & three step down subsidiaries in Italy while Varroc has 36 plants in seven countries that include servicing North America too

Yesterday Varroc’s IPO,full offer for Sale of 20221730 Equity Shares of FV Rs 1, opened for subscription in the Rs 965-Rs 967 Band that implies at top end an IPO Size of Rs 1955 crs & a Valuation of  over Rs 13000 crs .It closed FY 18 with a Consolidated Top line of @ Rs 10400 crs

Earlier in October 2016 Anurang had already rung the success bell with Endurance’s IPO,an full offer for sale too at Rs 472 for an Equity Share of FV Rs 10, which was oversubscribed 43.7 times .Today Endurance quotes @ Rs 1250 giving a Market Cap of Rs 17700 crs.It closed FY 18 with a consolidated top line of Rs 6690 crs

Post Varroc’s IPO the Twins Companies should command a combined Market Cap of over Rs 30700 crs or @ US $ 4.5 billion on combined topline of over Rs 17000 crs or US $ 2.5 billion.Post IPO Promoters hold 82.5% of Endurance & 85% of Varroc giving the Jains a combined market wealth of over Rs 25500 crs or @ US $ 3.8 billion.Endurance is also a darling of the FPIs/MFs/DIIs .They collectively hold over 15% of the Equity leaving  under 2.5% as non institutional public float.This scenario should repeat itself also in Varroc with Anchor Investors already lapping up 5% though  it is interesting to see that neither Reliance MF nor HDFC MF are among the eight Anchor MFs…perhaps they’ll apply now or would love to know their reason for not participating  

Impressive Numbers already

Both Companies have a common Chairman,Mr Naresh Chandra

However,any Assessment from a shareholder’s viewpoint is always centered on ‘Value Vs Price’.There are always risks,largely operating,financial & legal,that companies face.

Varroc had negative Cash Flows in FY 18 & operates at lower EBITDA margins than Endurance.It also has @ Rs 1000 crs as Debt on it’s Balance Sheet at March 31,2018 of which Rs 636 crs is Long Term.Till FY 15 it was struggling with the bottomline.It’s also on the RBI watchlist as some of it’s export billings have yet to be realised over two years on …just a thought ~ 10 Million fresh issue of equity shares would have made the company debt free while increasing Equity Capital merely from Rs 13.48 crs to Rs 14.48 crs…would have saved the Company Rs 90 crs in Interest too…though issue size would have gone up to Rs 3000 crs… Tarang did come on TV yesterday to state the Debt/Equity is low at 0.3 & company does not need funds and can manage all expansion through internal accruals.He has a vision of a top line of Rs 20000 crs by 2020 & to move up Global ranking from current 6 in external lighting systems to 3 or 4…currently does Rs 7000 crs in this segment while No 5 globally does twice this read more

Saturday Equity Workshop~You Guys Rocked! Now Go Rock the Markets!

Saturday,February 17,2018  Fundamental Value Vs Price Equity Workshop in Mumbai

You Guys Rocked! Now Go Rock the Markets! ~ for what’s Academics & Theory without Action & Application

Full House with all pretty knowledgeable & many market veterans from Mumbai,Dubai,Sangli,Kolhapur,Hyderabad,Thrissur & Gokak~from small Investors to High Networth ~from Broking,Corporate,PSU,MNC Banks,MNC IT companies & FPI fraternity too…from a confident 25 year old to a 60 year old who has seen it all & wants to see some more !

Great Interaction literally from 9 am to 9 pm ! & the Bulls remained alive & kicking on & around the Conference Room table throughout !

We covered them all & more!~Valuing on Assets & Earnings & assessing against Market Price ! ~ Demergers  & Delistings  & Rights &  Non Linear Earnings & Holdings & Acquisitions & New Parentage & Turnarounds & Changing Dynamics in Sectors & Themes like in PSU Banks again! & the GST Impact…& of course hopelessly hanging on to Wealth Destroyers & even averaging in them over the years !

Where are the Sensex & Nifty headed in the coming years…should we be bothered about them & other Macros or simply continue focusing bottom up on specific selections for serious wealth creation…Passive or Active Investing…we discussed all

We covered  Investor Gurus Warren Buffett & Peter Lynch & Investor Mistakes of Confirmation Bias,Anchoring & Improper Framing among others…how Multi disciplinary thinking evolves ones into a better person & investor

Corporate Tambola too was fun with prizes for three full houses & instant chocolates to those who correctly guessed the companies…A Special Praise for Hemal,who had enquired if this workshop would be for Beginners,& turned out guessing many companies !

Some other prizes too for some fabulous answers…like the hilarious one from Daya that I should seek another session,this time one to one ,with the pretty girl who had emailed me a query to clear a concept which was not a financial one…she had asked my views on whether Marriage was necessary in modern times & should not ‘live in’ be good enough ! Daya’s response brought the house down!

Chowdhary from ONGC lucidly explained his views on ONGC going forward

Vijay Desai,a clear market veteran, won  for being the best participant with some great interaction right throughout read more

3 Seats Left ! ~ Sat Feb 17 2018 Mumbai Funda Eq Workshop

3 Seats Left ! ~ Sat Feb 17 2018 Mumbai Funda Eq Workshop

Reserve yours now =>  http://www.jsalphaa.com/register.php

Fundamental MasterClass in Mumbai Stock Selection ~ Value Vs Price – 2018 ~ Markets Major & Mature ~ Sensex 36000 ~ Taking Stock

Saturday, February 17, 2018

At the previous Funda workshops in June & August 2017  we thread-bared Bombay Dyeing at Rs 70 to assess Value Vs Price in the price range of Rs 70 to Rs 85 & participants got excited to lap it up….in months it raced away to Rs 300 & now stands at Rs 250…of course Markets have been kind too…we had covered over 50 companies across sectors like Yuken,Rama Steel & Grauer on Valuation through Assets & Earnings & Situational Studies like M & A, Delisting & Turnarounds & the outcomes have been quite enjoyed by most participants as the feedback shows……. for what’s Academics & Theory without Action & Application

As Usual there’s already a good mix of participants from retail to HNWI & from FPIs, broking houses,PSUs  & MNC Banks….coming even from overseas & outstation for this Mumbai Workshop

Do try & make it….will be fun interacting fun-da-mentally with all of you on Re-positioning & Reinvestment Risks & on Corporate Governance & Controversies as we play the Corporate Tambola and exercise other Mind Gums on the Magic of Compounding & the holding of Convictions of Fundamental Selections through even steep market corrections especially if fully invested !

When I had announced this workshop just a fortnight ago the Sensex was at a record 36000+ and featured in the Workshop Title…In days since then following a global correction and arguably an uninspiring Union Budget that re-introduced Long Terms Capital Gains Tax the Sensex fell sharply below 34000 with many non large caps taking a hit of even 30 % with Vakrangee decimating over 50% from over Rs 500 to under Rs 200 on Corporate Governance issues

Even Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway’s Equity Portfolio has taken a US $ 11.2 billion hit ~ of course he’s not bothered ~ should you be when closer home we continue to be suckers in Company Price Run Ups where Quality is clearly suspect & where our PSU Banks continue to reel under the weight of NPAs with SBI announcing a huge Q 3 Loss,the first in many quarters, because of this ? ~ Capitalisation & Consolidation process is on  ~ are PSU Banks potential wealth creators going forward?

What Now ! ?

See You Sat

Cheers !

Sat Feb 17 2018~Mumbai Funda Equity Workshop~Taking Stock at Sensex 36000

Hey ! Here’s the Announcement that’s been eagerly awaited for the next Mumbai Fundamental Equity Workshop after Full Houses in June & August 2017

Just Click on it to register

Fundamental MasterClass in Mumbai
Stock Selection ~ Value Vs Price – 2018 ~ Markets Major & Mature ~ Sensex 36000 ~ Taking Stock

Saturday, February 17, 2018

As usual it’s on a Full Saturday .This time on February 17,2018 at my Fort HO in Mumbai.The Investment,inclusive of GST etc, is Rs 18000 or Rs 16200 each for 3 or more registrations from a group

As Limited Seats,do sign up quick for debating & discussing wealth creation & destruction through direct Equity in Indian Listed Companies

We are at all time Highs on the Sensitive Indices with the Sensex at 36000+ & Nifty at 11000+

At my last August 2017 Workshop the Sensex & Nifty were at 32300 & 10000 levels.They’re up 10%+ since then in six months but the magic has been in Specific Scrips which have recorded life changing surges if you were only invested in them !

For illustration when guiding on Valuation with regards to Non Linear Earnings Potential  in the June & August Workshop I had the participants engage in a Valuation exercise for half an hour on Bombay Dyeing at Rs 70 to Rs 82 levels & draw conclusions with some convictions.It raced away to Rs 300 & it’s now at Rs 250 levels ~ yet over 200% inside six months…of course Markets have been kind too in this period

In the August Workshop we played out a 20% CAGR scenario over 5 years to explain the Magic of Compounding.We used Yuken at Rs 1877 as an illustration taking into account it’s financials,past,present & future potential.If at 5 years in 2022 it would reach Rs 4670 it would give this 20% CAGR.It’s up 150% absolute touching Rs 4700 today inside 6 months ! …Life Changing Wealth Creation in Equity is simply the Magic of Compounding in a right Selection based on the Valuation leg of the Equity Table

What Now? What Next?

Bank of America thinks Sensex will slide & close at 32000 end 2018 ….Of course in 2015 they had forecast it would be 54000 ! yes ! 54000 by end 2018 ! & Ambit thinks we are in the last stage of the Rally ~ but they’ve been remarkably bearish all of 2017 & am sure their clients must have missed the 2017 gravy train in Equities ~ While Many think we are in a huge Bull Rally for Years to come & one even has called 35000 as the new Sensex Bottom ~ Should we care about what they think ?

Or should we simply care about how to grow serious wealth through direct equity in Indian Markets & protect it while growing it ? That’s what this Workshop is about read more

Cheers to 2018 & all of you !~More Champagne Moments for sure

champagne-glasses-original-370x229.jpg

Cheers to 2018 & all of you !~More Champagne Moments for sure this year

🙂 Yes,I do yet remember my password for my Blog & I promise I shall be more prolific in blogging than I was in 2017

Really Happy for so many who benefited handsomely from the convincing Fundamental Valuation exercises in the various Value Vs Price workshops & struck Champagne Multi-bagger Moments in 2017 with tactical high weightages in  Bombay Dyeing,HOV,India Bulls Ventures,Venkys,Grauer & Weil,Yuken & quite a few more…for what’s Academics without Action or Theory without Application

Deeply Touched & Humbled by the appreciation showered for this through bouquets & sweets etc & for warm sentiments like ” Ur our Santa sir,as long as you’re with us no need for Santa !”

We all do need a Santa though

😀  2018 ? Sensex 40000 ? Nifty 12500 ?

Que Sera Sera

Cheers again !

Do you want a Fundamental Equity Workshop in your City?

Hey,have been getting a few requests from other Cities than Mumbai to hold a Fundamental One Day Equity  Stock Selection Value vs Price Workshop in their City…Delhi,Bangalore, Ahmedabad ,Chennai to name a few

Am planning out the Calendar for the second Half of 2017/18 till March 31,2018 & Would be great if I am able to commit one month for 4 or 5 Saturdays to plan an All Zones All India Saturday Workshop Tour  

Would appreciate if you could respond on this Post or my email at gaurav@jsalphaa.com or whatsapp or sms to me on +919820162597  if you wish for me to arrange one Saturday Equity Workshop in your City

A Simple Response stating your  Name,City & Mobile No will suffice

Fees for a One Day Workshop at a good Venue & depending on the city would normally be between Rs 9000 & 11800 inclusive of 18% GST  & can be paid online & offline too once Workshop is set up and announced

Alternatively any Group or Entity (involved in Broking,Equity Investing & Education etc) wishes me to conduct a one or two day workshop in their City can also get in touch with me & we can work out the modalities 

Cheers