Adieu 2010…Welcome 2011….Hope we get to welcome a ‘Magic’ Stock yet again !

Adieu 2010…Welcome 2011

They Say Our Life’s Expectancy is measured by the Number of Breathes we take…there’s a finite number pre ordained for each one of us….so here’s wishing that you take fewer Breathes in 2011,so that you live longer !

So Breathe Deeply and make your New Year Resolutions….and Breathe Deeper when you break them !

Given you some really huge Multibaggers in the 21st Century…Matrix Labs,Mercator Lines,Essar Oil,Sagar Cements,ICSA,Sesa Goa to name a few….have positioned you with a few more for the coming years

Let’s Hope 2011 throws up a real ‘Magic’ & ‘Miracle’ Stock up for you that makes you ‘breathless’! (so you live longer too!..refer up) and revs your Equity Portfolio up so fast that you can take an early retirement !….Maybe I’ll spot one for clients yet again…Now ! Now ! I said Maybe !

….but what I do promise on my blog is to keep warning you to stay away from Companies that seduce or are simply scandalously overpriced !…like Emami Infrastructure was when it got listed on the demerger !…High of Rs 600 on the NSE !…. and at Rs 100 + it was widely thought to have stabilised…it’s down to Rs 35-Rs 45 range now  within months !   

Cheers !   

Two Interesting Bulk Buys…Essar Oil by LIC at Rs 140 and S Kumars by Merrill Lynch at Rs 47.60

Among the Bulk Deals that took place last week,two interesting purchases caught my eye…..even though I’m not a great Fan of the Ruias (Essar Oil) or the Kasliwals (S Kumars)…both gravely let down shareholders and other Stakeholders in the 1990s and even into the 21st Century…there were several Corporate Governance Issues too 

  • 20 Million Shares of ESSAR OIL (currently Rs 141/142) were picked up by LIC at Rs 140 on January 22,2010 in a Rs 280 crs deal….seller was Matterhorn

and

  • 1.375 Million Shares of S KUMARS NATIONWIDE (currently at Rs 45) were picked up by MERRILL LYNCH CAPITAL MARKETS ESPANA at Rs 47.60 on January 20,2010 in a Rs 6.55 crs deal

S Kumars is already one of our second half 2009 SS 2 Recommendations

Essar Oil was spotted by us as a SS 3 Multibagger at Rs 4/5 in 2003/4…Over the past 6 years Essar Oil has reached the following Highs….it taught us a lesson though…If you have caught it early,Do not Sell too Early,even if you see 200% Appreciation in the same year…that would be Rs 5 to Rs 15 ! in 2004………If your’e catching a Train from Mumbai Central to Ahmedabad,do not get off at Borivali !…..Stay with a good scrip which has good to great potential  for the long term over many years and it will give you quantum appreciation…Selling off in 2004/5/6 would have given strong % returns…but not as strong as from 2007 !,even considering the decline in 2008 and 2009 

Year…….High……..Absolute % Appreciation from 2003/4 at Rs 5…..In Number of Years

2004…….33……..560 %……One Year

2005……..48…….860 % ……Two Years

2006……..80……..1500%…..Three Years

2007……..333……6560 %…..Four Years

2008……..380……7500 %…..Five Years

2009……..194……3780%……Six Years

2010 till date….162…..3140%…..Six + Years

Clearly 2007 was a spectacular Year for Essar Oil when from an earlier Year 2006 High of Rs 80 it zoomed 316 % from this High to a New High of Rs 333 in 2007 

Watch out for both these Scrips in 2010

Cheers !