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February 26, 2010

UNION BUDGET 2010/11 AT A GLANCE

              
 
Union Budget 2010-2011  
 
   

 
 

 

     
          Budget at a Glance  
 

  (In Crore of Rupees)

 

  2008-2009 Actuals@

2009-2010 Budget Estimates

 

2009-2010 Revised Estimates

2010-2011 Budget Estimates

1.    Revenue Receipts

540259

614497

577294

682212

       2.    Tax Revenue (net to Centre)

443319

474218

465103

534094

       3.    Non-tax Revenue

96940

140279

112191

148118

4.    Capital Receipts (5+6+7)$ 

343697

406341

444253

426537

       5.    Recoveries of   Loans

6139

4225

4254

5129

       6.    Other Receipts

566

1120

25958

40000

       7.    Borrowings and other
              Liabilities*

336992

400996

414041

381408

8.    Total Receipts  (1+4)$

883956

1020838

1021547

1108749

9.    Non-plan Expenditure      

608721

695689

706371

735657

      10.   On Revenue Account  of          
              which,

559024

618834

641944

643599

      11.   Interest  Payments

192204

225511

219500

248664

      12.   On Capital Account

49697

76855

64427

92508

13.   Plan Expenditure

275235

325149

315176

373092

      14.   On Revenue Account

234774

278398

264411

315125

      15.   On Capital Account

40461

46751

50765

57967

16.   Total Expenditure (9+13)

883956

1020838

1021547

1108749

      17.   Revenue Expenditure
             (10+14)

793798

897232

906355

958724

      18.   Capital Expenditure
             (12+15)

90158

123606

115192

150025

19.   Revenue Deficit (17-1)

253539
(4.5)

282735
(4.8)

329061
(5.3)

276512
(4.0)

20.   Fiscal Deficit
       {16-(1+5+6)}

336992
(6.0)

400996
(6.8)

414041
(6.7)

381408
(5.5)

21.   Primary Deficit (20-11)

144788
(2.6)

175485
(3.0)

194541
(3.2)

132744
(1.9)

@  Actuals for 2008-09 are provisional.
$  Does not include receipts in respect of Market Stabilization Scheme.

*  Includes draw-down of Cash Balance.

Note : GDP for BE 2010-2011 has been projected at Rs.6934700 crore assuming 12.5% growth over the             advance estimates of 2009-2010 (Rs.6164178 crore) released by CSO.    

Union Budget 2010….First Reaction….So what’s New !?

Sentiment is at work at the Stock Exchanges…more visible on days such as these…when the Union Budget is announced

In the Morning the Sensex and Nifty were up marginally…as the FM began his speech at 11 am,they remained positive…90 minutes into his speech,at around 12.30 pm and around the time the BJP decided to walkout,the Indices gathered fast momentum and he Sensex rushed towards 400 points rise and  16600 while the Nifty sought over 100 points and 5000

What’s my first reaction ?….so what’s New !?…simply continuing the Fiscal and Infrastructure Road Map

  • You don’t need a Visionary…any FM or a layman can do this…. to sell yours assets to part fund your fiscal deficit…Rs 25000 crs is the Disinvestment for 2009/10 and Rs 40000 crs for 2010/11…..to reduce pressures on the Government Borrowings…Borrowings has already crossed Rs 4 lakh crs in 2009/10…Government plans a lower Rs 3.45 lakh crs in 2010/11 !….My sense is that this figure may be revised upwards if Oil again crosses US $ 100 or if  Disinvestment Figures don’t work out 
  • Fiscal Deficit is pegged at Rs 381408 crs or a lower 5.5% of GDP for 2010/11…Inclusive of Oil and Fertiliser Bonds,In 2008/9 it was 7.8% of GDP and in 2009/10 it’s going to be 6.9% of GDP
  • Total Expenditure for FY 2010/11 has been upped 8.6% at 1108749 crs of which Plan Expenditure is up by 15% to Rs 373092 crs  and Non Plan Expenditure is up b y 6% to Rs 735657 crs
  • All Media Stock Channels are excited over the increase in the Direct tax Slabs Range…so what’s new..this was already announced much earlier what the New Slabs would be from April 1,2010…it’s already on wikipedia…check it out
  • DTC and GST are already scheduled for being implemented by April 1,2011…The FM only hopes he can be able to do this
  • GDP Growth rate is 7.2% this year,may be revised upwards…FM wants to return to the high 9% rates…This is expected  to help reduce the pressures of funding fiscal deficits through borrowing,asset sales and deficit financing…but depending on this can throw you for a Toss if twin challenges of Food Inflation amd Potential Oil Price Surges play up the squeeze…check out a few days old Blog on this
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