Reliance Industries remains @ Rs 885 ! ~ Gone Nowhere last Six Years !

In October 2012,I had blogged on Reliance Industries @ Rs 850 then wondering aloud if at all it could double in 3 years by 2015 to give a 30% CAGR Gain given all the Controversies plaguing it.The link’s below

Alright! ~ Will it double from Rs 850 in three years time !?

Wednesday, October 3rd, 2012

We are well into 2015,infact in the 30th month since the above blogpost and Reliance Industries  has gone nowhere & continues to struggle at Rs 885 ! while Sensex has gone up 58% from 18675 to 29445 ….The Controversies continue,daresay even more pronounced

While it was in some Clients Equity Portfolios as a Core Selection ,I advised to exit in 2013 itself and stopped covering it on serious Corporate Governance & Controversial Issues that remained unresolved…yet do  

The Market Cap currently is Rs 286149 crs=> @ US $ 46 billion….It was around the same three and six years ago but then was at No 1 Ranking….Now it’s at No 2 Ranking way below TCS’s US $ 85 billion and it’s got ITC, ONGC and HDFC Bank all at it’s heels  at @ US $ 44 billion each

Of Course Mukesh Ambani,with his controlled 45.25% Equity Stake in Reliance Industries, continues to be the richest Indian with a networth of US $ 20 b +,only just eclipsed by Dilip Shanghvi of Sun Pharma ~ but he’s not made his Shareholders rich now for the last six years….The Price was the same even in 2010

From April 2013 he gets Z Category Security which media reports that he pays for at Rs 15 lakhs a month 

Can he redeem this ‘No Gains’ situation in the coming years ?

2.8 million Reliance Shareholders obviously have faith that he will but they have been exposed with this hope and faith for many years now without the comfort of any A to Z type of Security or protection ! 

Are you one of  these 2.8 million Shareholders ?

 

Reliance or NBCC ? ~ Both @ Rs 850 levels

😀 Oh ! How I love Equities !

Reliance Industries or NBCC !?

No Brainer!?

Both  FV Rs 10 and @ Rs 850 levels

Reliance with a Market Cap of @ Rs 275000 crs and  embedded in controversies and has actually lost monies for shareholders in the last six years of holding

NBCC with a Market Cap of  @ Rs 10200 crs and on the ascend yet despite a stellar over 500% rise in just over a year !

Had Recommended Exit from Reliance over a year ago on Corporate Governance issues and had strongly recommended NBCC as a SS 2 Select on October 18,2013 as a super Diwali Pick at Rs 110

If you Guys consider a Switch from Reliance to NBCC and make some Money on this,let me know by email and I’ll tell you where to send my Fees ! 🙂

If you don’t make Monies then my email was wrong! 🙂

Oh! and if you’re considering switching from NBCC to Reliance in expectations of  ‘Jio’ Rollout benefit,then all the best and “Jugh Jugh Jio! ” 🙂

 

Union Budget 2014 ~ Will Sensex continue to Humour as Jaitley does not!

Have a look at our first impression posted  after our FM ‘s Union Budget Address and during market hours

Union Budget 2014 ~ Will Sensex continue to Humour as Jaitley does not!

Think he missed a great opportunity to provide us with the ‘Naya Soch’ of the new NDA Government

His Speech stated quite a few challenges and objectives like tackling Black Monies,raising Tax to GDP ratio,lowering Inflation and Fiscal Deficit % but stopped short of spelling out the specifics of solving these

Having just 45 days after NDA was elected he has opted for the easier option of simply following the UPA budget process and numbers too that the UPA FM Mr Chidambaram laid out in his Interim Budget in February 2014….whether it be Disinvestment or Tax Receipts or Fiscal Deficit Control Targets…made right noises but was tokenism in a few areas like social expenditure…thankfully nothing really adverse or anti poor though direct tax incentives are not really cause for any celebration

Sensex had quite a roller coaster ride today as to be expected….opening stable & pre budget speech at 25514 in the morning then sliding before noon over 300 points to 25117 from yesterday closing of 25445 during the budget speech before strongly racing away by over 700 points to 25920 …over 400 points previous day closing post budget speech only to reverse all the gains and close at 25373,down 72 points  from previous day closing

Will the Sensex continue to Humor us in the near term despite not an iota of Humor in the FM’s Speech !? …sense is that any correction will be a hiccup on the onward march towards 30000 on the back of increased FII Net Infows & Big Corporate Infra spending  

I see some clear big winners in the Infrastructure Space across the Board from Shipping to Power to SEZs to Real Estate to Highway Road Construction Companies and Pipeline Companies

 

 

November 2013 Posts in three Free Access Modules ~ Scrip Standpoint ~One Company under Scrip Tease ~19 Companies under Scrip Watch

Check these November 2013 Posts on our Website in the various Free Access Modules

Scrip Standpoint Module ~ Four Week Ending Posts and Four Specific Posts 

Scrip Tease Module ~ One Company

Scrip Watch Module ~19 Companies ~ These are not committed SS Selects that Clients have access to in Other Modules 

  • Lupin @ Rs 853 ~ ‘Lupin’ Good ! ~ Pin Up Pharma Poster Scrip Maybe ! ~ 28-Nov-2013
  • Technocraft Industries @ Rs 103 ~ The Best is Yet to Come says the Company ~ but will it!? ~ 27-Nov-2013
  • Redington India @ Rs 68.55 ~ Riding on Apple!? ~ 25-Nov-2013
  • Max India Ltd @ Rs 200 ~ Revives halfway between 52 Week High/Low ~ 22-Nov-2013
  • Jubilant Life Sciences Ltd @ Rs 119 – Price Surges on Delisting News ~ 22-Nov-2013
  • Sintex @ Rs 30 ~ Poised for a Turnaround? ~ 21-Nov-2013
  • Sobha Developers @ Rs 312 ~ Better Positioned than Peers ~ 21-Nov-2013
  • IL&FS Transportation @ Rs 117 ~ Sluggish Relative Valuations in a Sluggish Scenario ~ 20-Nov-2013
  • JP Associates @ Rs 49.6 ~ Building market expectations! ~ 19-Nov-2013
  • [email protected] Rs 139.55~Dalmias Cementing Stake Steadily ~ 18-Nov-2013
  • Coal India @ Rs 274 ~ Q2 Result Update ~ 16-Nov-2013
  • Heritage Foods @ Rs 181 ~ Profitable Dairy Segment but Loss making Retail Segment ~ 15-Nov-2013
  • Aurobindo Pharma @ Rs 282 ~ Yet Valued at a Discount To Peer Group despite Good Growth Potential ~ 14-Nov-2013
  • Suven Life Sciences @ Rs 69.9 ~Sixfold Rise in Q2FY14 PAT ~ What else lies ahead! ~ 13-Nov-2013
  • Ashok Leyland @ Rs 15.25 ~ Sliding Through Tough Times ~ 12-Nov-2013
  • Mangalore Chemicals @ Rs 53.3 ~ Juggling with Control Issues ~ 11-Nov-2013
  • Ashoka Buildcon @ Rs 53 ~ On Reformatory Roads ~ 06-Nov-2013
  • Oriental Carbon and Chemicals @ Rs 117 ~ Does it Deserve to be traded in the PCA as an Iliquid Scrip ? ~ 05-Nov-2013
  • Tinplate Co of India @ Rs 46 ~ Will it ever break away from a Narrow Quoted Range ? ~ 05-Nov-2013
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    Union Budget 2013 ~ India is a BLESsed Economy…Felt like a stand up comedian as had the house of 400 well informed investors in splits !

    Union Budget 2013 ~ India is a BLESsed Economy

    Felt like a stand up comedian as had the house of 400 well informed investors in splits !  when I address and interacted with them on Budget Day Feb 28 evening itself at a Budget Review Event jointly hosted by AIVF,JITO and the BSE Brokers Forum at KC College Auditorium

    Gaurav Parikh on Dias before his Humorous Address to 400 in the audience On Budget Day Feb 28,2013

    Covered this on our Company website as below :

    SCRIP STANDPOINT ~ A View

    Slide Share ~ The Presentation at the Event to support the Address & Interaction

    Union Budget 2013 ~ India is a BLESSsed Economy…Addressed an audience of 400 on Budget Day

    Union Budget 2013 ~ India is a BLESSsed Economy…

    Enjoyed on the Budget Day Evening itself Feb 28,2013 addressing and interacting with a well informed audience of 400 on the Union Budget 2013 ~ on how the Government plans to make Money to tackle deficits and how we can ! ~ plan to host a few thoughts of my presentation on the company website www.jsalphaa.com and on this blog ~ covered how FM has cleverly and conveniently balanced the budget ~ also covered  the Forward Trends in Equities &  Indices & Gold & Exchange Rate & how Debts & Deficits are forcing Disinvestments & how the malaise continues on our exchanges and it will be some time before the retail investor comes back,if at all ~ spoke on Liquidity,Sentiment,Momentum and Valuation

    🙂 Felt more like a Stand Up Comedian as the audience were in splits on some of the budget and stock market situations I presented…

    Union Budget 2013 Review Event
     Cheers !